BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Spirit Lake

Class: 2A Class Rank: 5 Conference: 2A-2 Record: (26-3-0) Overall: (88-23-0) Overall Strength =  102.43

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/19/2011 Home    W * 100.02  52   6   2A  47 ( 21- 67-  0) Cherokee Washington    -2.09     48.09                      
  2 08/26/2011 Home    W   125.76  49  14   3A  19 ( 58- 43-  0) Spencer                23.65     11.35                      
  3 09/02/2011 Away    W   132.93  55   2   3A  38 ( 38- 53-  0) Storm Lake             30.82     22.18                      
  4 09/09/2011 Away    W   124.10  42   7   1A   9 ( 65- 41-  0) Western Christian      21.99     13.01                      
  5 09/16/2011 Home    W   102.28  42  14   2A  25 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon                 0.17     27.83                      
  6 09/23/2011 Away    W   104.59  21  10   2A  11 ( 64- 40-  0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR    2.48      8.52                      
  7 10/07/2011 Away    W * 109.21  41   7   2A  28 ( 35- 58-  0) Estherville LC          7.10     26.90                      
  8 10/14/2011 Home    W    91.01  27   3   2A  35 ( 28- 62-  0) Unity Christian       -11.10     35.10                      
  9 10/21/2011 Home    W   138.53  55   0   2A  15 ( 62- 40-  0) Sioux Center           36.42     18.58                      
 10 10/26/2011 Home    W   110.97  42   0   ZZ  30 (  6-  4-  0) Jefferson JSPC          8.86     33.14                      
 11 10/31/2011 Home    W   124.39  42   7   1A   4 ( 80- 28-  0) South Cent Calhoun     22.28     12.72                      
 12 11/07/2011 Away    W   111.72  31   7   1A  10 ( 69- 39-  0) Carroll Kuemper         9.61     14.39                      
 13 11/14/2011 Neutral W   105.24  35  14   2A  16 ( 66- 36-  0) West Marshall           3.13     17.87                      
 14 11/19/2011 Neutral L    96.33  20  24    A   2 (114- 15-  0) Iowa City Regina       -5.79      1.79                      
 15 08/24/2012 Home    W *  92.24  56  14   2A  51 ( 17- 63-  0) Milford Okoboji        -9.87     51.87                      
 16 08/31/2012 Away    W   115.93  52  16   3A  38 ( 38- 53-  0) Storm Lake             13.82     22.18                      
 17 09/07/2012 Away    W    91.58  17   0   2A  29 ( 34- 58-  0) Forest City           -10.54     27.54                      
 18 09/14/2012 Home    W * 117.64  42   6   2A  17 ( 45- 39-  0) Garner GHV             15.53     20.47                      
 19 09/21/2012 Away    L    89.75  10  25   3A   5 ( 90- 25-  0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley  -12.36     -2.64                      
 20 09/28/2012 Away    W   110.88  54  14   1A  32 ( 41- 53-  0) Lake View East Sac      8.77     31.23                      
 21 10/05/2012 Home    W   113.48  46   7   ZZ  23 ( 16- 15-  0) Clarion-Goldfield      11.37     27.63                      
 22 10/12/2012 Away    W   141.93  49   0   1A   4 ( 80- 28-  0) South Cent Calhoun     39.82      9.18                      
 23 10/19/2012 Home    W * 102.67  52  21   2A  28 ( 35- 58-  0) Estherville LC          0.56     30.44                      
 24 10/24/2012 Home    W    93.95  24   0   2A  32 ( 31- 62-  0) MOC-Floyd Valley       -8.16     32.16                      
 25 10/29/2012 Home    W   110.28  43   7   2A  25 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon                 8.17     27.83                      
 26 11/02/2012 Away    W   108.75  21  17   3A   5 ( 90- 25-  0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley    6.64     -2.64                      
 27 11/10/2012 Neutral W    92.95  17  10   1A  10 ( 69- 39-  0) Carroll Kuemper        -9.16     16.16                      
 28 11/16/2012 Neutral W    85.15  17  15   1A  15 ( 79- 27-  0) Mediapolis            -16.96     18.96                      
 29 08/30/2013 Away    W * 116.78  63   0   2A  51 ( 17- 63-  0) Milford Okoboji        14.67     48.33  ND                  
 30 09/06/2013 Home    W   118.39  42   0   3A  38 ( 38- 53-  0) Storm Lake             16.28     25.72  ND                  
 31 09/13/2013 Home    W   112.03  41   0   2A  29 ( 34- 58-  0) Forest City             9.92     31.08                      
 32 09/20/2013 Away    W * 107.18  29   7   2A  17 ( 45- 39-  0) Garner GHV              5.07     16.93                      
 33 09/27/2013 Home    L    78.20   8  31   3A   5 ( 90- 25-  0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley  -23.91      0.91  ND                  
 34 10/04/2013 Home    W    96.34  32   3   1A  32 ( 41- 53-  0) Lake View East Sac     -5.77     34.77                      
 35 10/11/2013 Away    W   123.02  59  14   ZZ  23 ( 16- 15-  0) Clarion-Goldfield      20.91     24.09                      
 36 10/18/2013 Home    W   122.39  45  12   1A   4 ( 80- 28-  0) South Cent Calhoun     20.28     12.72                      
 37 10/25/2013 Away    W *  96.21  47  26   2A  28 ( 35- 58-  0) Estherville LC         -5.90     26.90                      
 38 10/30/2013 Home    W   124.95  55   0   2A  32 ( 31- 62-  0) MOC-Floyd Valley       22.84     32.16                      
 39 11/04/2013 Home    L    95.20  28  34   3A   5 ( 90- 25-  0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley   -6.91      0.91                      
 40 08/29/2014 Home    W *  86.67  40  25   2A  28 ( 35- 58-  0) Estherville LC        -15.44     30.44                      
 41 09/05/2014 Away    W    84.58  35  25   2A  29 ( 34- 58-  0) Forest City           -17.54     27.54                      
 42 09/12/2014 Away    W   120.59  41  14   2A  11 ( 64- 40-  0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR   18.48      8.52                      
 43 09/19/2014 Home    W * 125.24  75   0   2A  51 ( 17- 63-  0) Milford Okoboji        23.13     51.87                      
 44 09/26/2014 Away    W * 104.56  47   0   2A  47 ( 21- 67-  0) Cherokee Washington     2.45     44.55                      
 45 10/03/2014 Home    W    89.53  20  14   2A  15 ( 62- 40-  0) Sioux Center          -12.58     18.58                      
 46 10/10/2014 Away    W   118.82  41   0   2A  25 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon                16.71     24.29                      
 47 10/17/2014 Away    W   107.31  48  35   3A  19 ( 58- 43-  0) Spencer                 5.20      7.80                      
 48 10/24/2014 Home    W   102.95  33   0   2A  32 ( 31- 62-  0) MOC-Floyd Valley        0.84     32.16                      
 49 10/29/2014 Home    W   104.95  35   0   2A  32 ( 31- 62-  0) MOC-Floyd Valley        2.84     32.16                      
 50 11/03/2014 Home    W   100.34  54  21   1A  32 ( 41- 53-  0) Lake View East Sac     -1.77     34.77                      
 51 11/07/2014 Home    L    69.53   0  14   2A  15 ( 62- 40-  0) Sioux Center          -32.58     18.58                      
 52 08/28/2015 Away    W * 106.21  49  18   2A  28 ( 35- 58-  0) Estherville LC          4.10     26.90  ND                  
 53 09/04/2015 Home    W   124.03  63  10   2A  29 ( 34- 58-  0) Forest City            21.92     31.08  ND                  
 54 09/11/2015 Home    W   124.05  42   8   2A  11 ( 64- 40-  0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR   21.94     12.06                      
 55 09/18/2015 Away    W *  95.78  48   6   2A  51 ( 17- 63-  0) Milford Okoboji        -6.33     48.33                      
 56 09/25/2015 Home    W *  82.02  48  20   2A  47 ( 21- 67-  0) Cherokee Washington   -20.09     48.09                      
 57 10/02/2015 Away    W    90.07  41  38   2A  15 ( 62- 40-  0) Sioux Center          -12.04     15.04                      
 58 10/09/2015 Home    W   114.28  52  12   2A  25 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon                12.17     27.83                      
 59 10/16/2015 Home    W   109.76  26   7   3A  19 ( 58- 43-  0) Spencer                 7.65     11.35  ND                  
 60 10/23/2015 Away    W   108.49  35   0   2A  32 ( 31- 62-  0) MOC-Floyd Valley        6.38     28.62                      
 61 10/28/2015 Home    W   118.53  35   0   2A  15 ( 62- 40-  0) Sioux Center           16.42     18.58                      
 62 11/02/2015 Home    W * 100.67  49  20   2A  28 ( 35- 58-  0) Estherville LC         -1.44     30.44                      
 63 11/06/2015 Home    W   112.05  35  13   2A  11 ( 64- 40-  0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR    9.94     12.06                      
 64 11/14/2015 Neutral W   108.40  49  34   2A  10 ( 55- 31-  0) North Fayette Valley    6.28      8.72                      
 65 11/23/2015 Neutral W   101.65  70  56   2A  13 ( 63- 40-  0) Mount Vernon           -0.47     14.47                      
 66 08/26/2016 Away    W *  87.21  33  21   2A  28 ( 35- 58-  0) Estherville LC        -14.90     26.90  ND                  
 67 09/02/2016 Home    W    86.03  29  14   2A  29 ( 34- 58-  0) Forest City           -16.08     31.08  ND                  
 68 09/09/2016 Away    L    54.63  12  40   3A  32 ( 32- 58-  0) LeMars                -47.49     19.49                      
 69 09/16/2016 Home    W   108.76  28  10   3A  19 ( 58- 43-  0) Spencer                 6.65     11.35                      
 70 09/23/2016 Away    W * 123.00  55  14   2A  21 ( 40- 55-  0) Algona                 20.89     20.11                      
 71 09/30/2016 Home    W    89.88  34  28   3A  28 ( 46- 49-  0) Humboldt              -12.23     18.23                      
 72 10/07/2016 Home    L    38.39   3  41   3A  38 ( 38- 53-  0) Storm Lake            -63.72     25.72                      
 73 10/14/2016 Away    L    96.55  18  19   3A  15 ( 72- 33-  0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton   -5.56      4.56                      
 74 10/21/2016 Away    L    84.96   7  25   3A   7 ( 77- 31-  0) Sioux City Heelan     -17.15     -0.85                      
 75 08/25/2017 Home    W *  88.67  29  12   2A  28 ( 35- 58-  0) Estherville LC        -13.44     30.44  ND                  
 76 09/01/2017 Away    W   109.58  42   7   2A  29 ( 34- 58-  0) Forest City             7.46     27.54  ND                  
 77 09/08/2017 Home    W   116.08  49  12   3A  32 ( 32- 58-  0) LeMars                 13.97     23.03                      
 78 09/15/2017 Away    L    81.31  13  26   3A  19 ( 58- 43-  0) Spencer               -20.80      7.80                      
 79 09/22/2017 Home    W * 106.46  49  21   2A  21 ( 40- 55-  0) Algona                  4.35     23.65                      
 80 09/29/2017 Away    W   111.42  38  14   3A  28 ( 46- 49-  0) Humboldt                9.31     14.69                      
 81 10/07/2017 Away    L    57.93  19  41   3A  38 ( 38- 53-  0) Storm Lake            -44.18     22.18  was 10/06 now 10/07 
 82 10/13/2017 Home    L    77.01  14  31   3A  15 ( 72- 33-  0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton  -25.10      8.10                      
 83 10/20/2017 Home    L    94.41   3   8   3A   7 ( 77- 31-  0) Sioux City Heelan      -7.70      2.70                      
 84 08/24/2018 Away    W   108.31  27  13   3A  19 ( 58- 43-  0) Spencer                 6.20      7.80  ND                  
 85 08/31/2018 Home    W   113.03  42   0   2A  29 ( 34- 58-  0) Forest City            10.92     31.08  ND                  
 86 09/07/2018 Away    W   114.59  35  14   2A  11 ( 64- 40-  0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR   12.48      8.52  ND                  
 87 09/14/2018 Home    W   128.53  58  13   2A  15 ( 62- 40-  0) Sioux Center           26.42     18.58  ND                  
 88 09/21/2018 Home    W * 113.67  42   0   2A  28 ( 35- 58-  0) Estherville LC         11.56     30.44                      
 89 09/28/2018 Away    L    71.62  41  48   1A  23 ( 44- 25-  0) Southeast Valley      -30.49     23.49                      
 90 10/05/2018 Home    W   120.33  59   0   ZZ  34 ( 10- 26-  0) Clarion Clarion-Gold   18.22     40.78                      
 91 10/12/2018 Away    L *  76.00  24  30   2A  21 ( 40- 55-  0) Algona                -26.11     20.11                      
 92 10/19/2018 Home    W * 111.64  50  20   2A  17 ( 45- 39-  0) Garner GHV              9.53     20.47                      
 93 10/26/2018 Away    L    76.75   7  35   3A   5 ( 90- 25-  0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley  -25.36     -2.64                      
 94 08/30/2019 Home    W   108.76  39  21   3A  19 ( 58- 43-  0) Spencer                 6.65     11.35  ND                  
 95 09/06/2019 Away    W   122.58  54   6   2A  29 ( 34- 58-  0) Forest City            20.46     27.54  ND                  
 96 09/13/2019 Home    W   118.05  42  14   2A  11 ( 64- 40-  0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR   15.94     12.06  ND                  
 97 09/20/2019 Away    L    81.07  15  21   2A  15 ( 62- 40-  0) Sioux Center          -21.04     15.04  ND                  
 98 09/27/2019 Away    L *  69.21  14  20   2A  28 ( 35- 58-  0) Estherville LC        -32.90     26.90                      
 99 10/04/2019 Home    W   120.08  45   0   1A  23 ( 44- 25-  0) Southeast Valley       17.97     27.03                      
100 10/11/2019 Away    W   113.88  57   8   ZZ  34 ( 10- 26-  0) Clarion Clarion-Gold   11.76     37.24                      
101 10/18/2019 Home    L *  76.46  32  34   2A  21 ( 40- 55-  0) Algona                -25.65     23.65                      
102 10/25/2019 Away    W *  90.18  34  29   2A  17 ( 45- 39-  0) Garner GHV            -11.93     16.93                      
103 11/01/2019 Away    L    83.09   7  21   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake            -19.02      5.02                      
104 08/28/2020 Home    L    79.78   7  14   1A   7 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux   -22.33     15.33  ND                  
105 09/04/2020 Home    L    73.11  21  27   1A  18 ( 65- 36-  0) Ida Grove O-A-BC-IG   -29.00     23.00  ND                  
106 09/11/2020 Away    W * 105.00  40  17   2A  21 ( 40- 55-  0) Algona                  2.89     20.11                      
107 09/18/2020 Away    W *  82.21  34  27 1 2A  28 ( 35- 58-  0) Estherville LC        -19.90     26.90                      
108 09/25/2020 Home    W * 104.24  54   0   2A  51 ( 17- 63-  0) Milford Okoboji         2.13     51.87                      
109 10/09/2020 Away    W * 127.18  42   0   2A  17 ( 45- 39-  0) Garner GHV             25.07     16.93                      
110 10/23/2020 Home    W   133.55  40   0   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake             31.44      8.56                      
111 10/30/2020 Home    L    88.15   0  12   2A   6 ( 95- 21-  0) Inwood West Lyon      -13.97      1.97                      
      Averages             102.43  36.5 14.5

Best game:  141.93 = 49 point win over Lake City South Central Calhoun
Worst game:  38.39 = 38 point loss to Storm Lake
Team stdev:  18.54